There are a lot of people in New England (and around the NFL, actually) who think the Patriots using one of their second round picks (or even, gasp, a first round pick) on Tim Tebow is a foregone conclusion.
The Michael Felgers of the world have been talking up this kid like he’s Joe Montana with a minor mechanical problem. A born leader who, if drafted by the Patriots, is destined for greatness.
I just don’t think it’s going to happen, and I don’t want it to happen either. I have absolutely no interest in seeing Tim Tebow put on a Patriots hat come draft day, whether on day one or day two.
Maybe day three.
Put yourself in Bill Belichick’s shoes.
You have four high picks in a stocked draft. Your team needs an outside linebacker who can pressure opposing quarterbacks, it needs an inside linebacker who can play next to Jerod Mayo, it needs a wide receiver who can play opposite Randy Moss, and you’re going into next season with only one every-down defensive end.
Among other things…
You also have a hall of fame quarterback who is starting to get older. You don’t know how much longer he’ll be around. But you do know that as long as he’s around, your window of opportunity remains open.
Why, in that situation, would you chose against drafting a player who could make your team better and use a high pick on a project like Tim Tebow?
Tebow is, by all accounts, a great kid. He may end up becoming a successful NFL quarterback. But is he any more likely to become a great NFL quarterback than Brian Hoyer?
And would you use one of this season’s top four picks on Brian Hoyer?
I’ve heard all the arguments. The kid’s a great leader. He’s a high character guy. He’s a winner. The Patriots have four picks in the first two rounds. Their recent draft track record isn’t great. Even the best drafting teams only hit on 50% of their picks.
That’s all well and good, but I’ll still take my chances drafting guys who can come in and fill a need today.
The Patriots need to come out of the draft with at least two impact players, and preferably an impact pass rusher. If they take Tebow with one of their second round picks, their odds of improving the 2010 Patriots goes down.
And I’m not sure their odds of improving any future Patriots team gets all that better either.
Tebow may be a great leader, but as a third string quarterback (or, at best, a gimmick offensive player) what is he going to lead? A clipboard? Find me a 5 or 6 year NFL veteran who will look to a rookie clipboard holder for leadership and I’ll find you a unicorn.
The Patriots simply cannot waste a high draft pick on Tim Tebow. The Patriots need to select guys who can help them win now.
After all, Tom Brady won’t be around forever…